Latvia's newly adopted long-term defense development plan prioritizes long-range firepower, drone warfare, and border fortification.
Irrespective of the outcome of the war in Ukraine, Russia will persist in vigorously enhancing its military-industrial capabilities over the next five years, thereby constituting the primary threat to Latvia's independence and perpetuating regional tension. The forecast is articulated in the development plan for Latvia's armed forces for 2025–2036, approved by the Latvian government in a closed session on July 23.
"Russia's full-scale war in Ukraine has profoundly altered the security landscape in Latvia and Europe, leaving no doubt that the aggressor, Russia, will persist as an undemocratic and hostile state – we have no reason to believe otherwise," stated Defense Minister Andris Sprūds. According to him Latvia must be prepared for all scenarios.
The long term defense development plan envisions investing up to 3 percent of GDP in defense by 2027. Considering the additional defense investments already made for acquiring air defense systems and strengthening the eastern border, Latvia has already allocated over 3 percent of its GDP to defense in 2023 and will continue to do so this year. Over the next 12 years, nearly €7 billion will be invested in the armed forces, with an additional €1 billion allocated for infrastructure development.
To ensure the protection of Latvia's territory and population "from the first centimeter and the first second," the development plan prioritizes fortifying the eastern border in collaboration with Lithuania and Estonia, and establishing a Baltic defense line.